Quantitative Golf Analysis

StrokesEdge.

The same edge-finding frameworks used in financial markets — applied to the PGA Tour every single week. No narratives. No gut feels. Just the numbers.

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Live Analysis
Valero Texas Open 2026
Value Play of the Week
Ryo Hisatsune
Elite approach stats. Market inefficiency.
+5000
Longshot
Andrew Novak
Scrambling numbers fit the profile.
+11500
Top-20 Lock
Tommy Fleetwood
SG: Approach travels. High floor.
+1600
Top-20 Lock
Russell Henley
Top-10 approach SG last 24 events.
+2200
#1 STAT SG: Approach · TPC San Antonio +5000 Ryo Hisatsune · Value Play +11500 Andrew Novak · Longshot FADE Power hitters · Low approach SG MODEL 5yr course-fit profiling WEEK 1 Valero Texas Open 2026 #1 STAT SG: Approach · TPC San Antonio +5000 Ryo Hisatsune · Value Play +11500 Andrew Novak · Longshot FADE Power hitters · Low approach SG MODEL 5yr course-fit profiling WEEK 1 Valero Texas Open 2026
5+
Years of course
data modeled
3
Primary stat
filters per course
0
Gut feels.
Ever.
Methodology

Built like a quant model.
Applied to golf.

The same systematic edge-finding frameworks used in financial markets — applied to the PGA Tour. Every week. Every course. No shortcuts.

01
Strokes Gained Modeling
We identify which SG categories actually predict finishing position at each course — not what the narrative says. What the data says.
02
Course-Fit Profiling
Every course has a unique fingerprint. We match player stat profiles to course demands and find the players whose game fits best.
03
Value Screening
Course-fit score vs. market odds. When the gap is wide enough — that's the edge. We find it systematically, every single tournament.
This Week · Valero Texas Open 2026

Where the model
sees value.

A sample of this week's analysis. Full breakdown — all picks, course profile, weather, and fades — for subscribers only.

Value Play of the Week
Ryo Hisatsune
Elite approach stats. Price hasn't caught up to form. Classic market inefficiency.
+5000
Longshot
Andrew Novak
Scrambling and around-the-green numbers fit the secondary stat profile.
+11500
Top-20 Lock
Tommy Fleetwood
SG: Approach travels. Perfect course-fit profile. High floor.
+1600
Top-20 Lock
Russell Henley
Top-10 SG: Approach on tour over last 24 events. Underpriced.
+2200

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